scenarios - overview
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A scenario is an outline of events - planned or unplanned, possible or probable - depending on the circumstances:
The human scenario variables are:
Population growth - Economic growth - Technology
The resulting Impact is often expressed in the equation
I = P x A x T
All life forms, including humans, are normally in a dynamic balance in the environment.
We are maintaining the balances with nature if we don't consume natural resources and minerals faster than nature requires for regeneration and replenishment.
Presently, we are creating an ever increasing global imbalance because we are far too many people. We are using far too much non-renewable resources and destroying nature with other life forms. This is called "Overshoot".
That is called die-off
Auf Deutsch: "Himmelfahrt ins Nichts" - von Herbert Gruhl
[ Ascension to Nothingness Ascension au néant]
Article: Das Ende - The End - La fin - El fin
We have it in our hands to stop growth and slow down our velocity towards total depletion and the end. We could even gain more time if we would slow down societal speeds, relocalise work and living, and demechanise. But it won't be enough to get back to return to a level of sustainability, because our overshoot level is far too high for an ordered contraction.
Churchil: "I have nothing to offer but tears, blood, sweat."
Promoting growth... ... and the planet is getting relatively smaller!
Population growth Economic growth Technology
14/2010 L’urgence de la "décroissance".
Des pensées sur la balance humaine sur la planète.
14/2010 The urgency of contraction.
Thoughts on the balance of humanity on the planet.
14/2010 Die Dringlichkeit einer Schrumpfung. Gedanken über das Gleichgewicht der Menschheit auf dem Planeten.
15/2010 "Der kommende Austand" ["Mea Culpa"]
19/2009 Hope kills
19/2009 L'espoir, l'optimisme, la technologie,
et l'argent: le quatuor qui tue l'humanité
19/2009 Hoffnung tötet
Herr Ascherdienstag Relax...
De heer Asdinsdag
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Source of the original graph: Charles A. S. Hall and John W. Day, Jr. - american scientist May-June 2009.